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Union Budget expectations

by Sumit Chanda
January 13, 2022
in Topical
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The Union Budget is being designed in the context of a substantially different international environment than the preceding decade or so. For the first time in many years, central banks in industrialised nations are being compelled to tighten monetary policy.

Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman is expected to introduce the Union Budget 2022-23 on February 1, 2022. It should have been highlighted that the government’s primary focus in the previous budget was on health and rural infrastructure development.

This year, the administration is intended to make a number of significant initiatives to boost the economy and empower the ordinary man. Furthermore, the Omicron version of COVID-19 has caused worries in the midst of the economy’s recovery. 

Budget 2022: What to Expect 

The fourth budget preparation of the Modi 2.0 government began on October 12, 2021. Since then, many have started making Budget 2022 forecasts. Every year, taxpayers place their expectations for a prosperous fiscal year on the Union Budget, which addresses everything from lowering the tax burden to enhancing farmer income. While the recovery from the pandemic remains a top priority, the government may also prioritise infrastructure development, GDP, healthcare, MSMEs, income tax, provident fund, and other vital issues in the forthcoming Budget.

Plan for Economic Growth

While preparing Budget 2022, the government’s primary focus will be on developing a solid growth strategy to rebuild the economy battered by COVID-19. The Indian government’s economic adviser forecasts the country’s growth to range between 7% and 7.5%. However, the council cautioned the administration not to set unrealistic income expectations. Budget 2022 will also feature plans to use more income to create new assets.

MSMEs Get a Break on Compliance It’s no secret that the pandemic has taken a heavy toll on the small business sector. MSMEs are India’s second-largest job creators, employing over 11 crore people. Furthermore, they account for 48% of our country’s exports. MSMEs, which account for 30% of GDP, demand the government to lower the compliance burden in all areas, including taxes, loans, audits, and licencing.

Taxation

The government is expected to phase away income tax deductions, exemptions, and direct tax

advantages. At the same time, it will rationalise the tax rate. The Finance Ministry is looking for proposals on how to provide compliance relief, provide tax predictability, and reduce litigation. The Ministry also stated that it has not investigated GST-related concerns because they fall under the scope of the GST Council.

Healthcare

Since a significant portion of our population has yet to be vaccinated, the government will continue to invest massive resources in healthcare, which will have an impact on the health insurance business. Our struggle against COVID-19 will continue over the next fiscal year, as new variants emerge all across the world. A road map for universal health care coverage may also be revealed.

Infrastructure

Infrastructure improvements are most likely to be prioritised in Budget 2022. It might contain a thorough inventory of assets ranging from public roads to railroads that the government intends to monetize throughout the fiscal year 2022-23. According to reports, it may prioritise motorways and expressways in particular. The following infrastructure ministries are included in this plan:

  • Roads
  • Highways and transportation
  • Power
  • Civil Aviation
  • Railways
  • Waterways and Shipping Ports
  • Power
  • Natural Gas and Petroleum
  • Food Distribution and Public Distribution
  • Telecommunications

Finally, the government should announce plans to improve Internet connectivity infrastructure across the country, ensuring last-mile connectivity, access to inexpensive 5G devices, and, most crucially, assisting E-learning players with strong data protection legislation.

Disclaimer: Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy will be profitable, equal any corresponding indicated historical performance level(s), or be suitable for your portfolio. Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the content may no longer be reflective of current opinions or positions. A copy of our current written disclosure statement discussing our advisory services and fees is available for review upon request.

Sumit Chanda

Sumit Chanda

Sumit has 18 years of experience in BFSI industry, into devising strategy for various functions, Investments and Managing Asset Portfolios. Specializes in Strategy & implementation in sales & operations, Team management, IT implementation, Affiliations.

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